IECM 12.0 beta User Manual > Introduction to Uncertainty Analysis > Encoding Uncertainties as Probability Distributions >

Judgments about Uncertainties

← Previous | Next →

In making judgments about a probability distribution for a quantity, there are a number of approaches (heuristics) that people use which psychologists have observed. Some of these can lead to biases in the probability estimate. Some of the most common are briefly summarized.