Current WRP Projects: Project 60

Improving Hydrologic Predictions in Wyoming’s Headwaters Through Detailed Quantification of Snowmelt

  • Project Number:  60
  • PIs: Fabian Nippgen, Assistant Professor, Ecosystem Science and Management, University of Wyoming, fnippgen@uwyo.edu; Co-Investigator: Ginger Paige, Professor, Ecosystem Science and Management, University of Wyoming, gpaige@uwyo.edu 
  • Period: 07/01/2021 – 06/30/2024

Objectives
This project aimed to improve hydrologic prediction and snowmelt representation in Wyoming’s mountain headwaters by integrating high-resolution climate forcing data, field observations, and distributed modeling. The objectives for this work were: 1) assessing the impact of model resolution on modeled hydrologic response when the same watersheds are modeled within larger watersheds, 2) evaluating how di$erences among widely used climate forcing datasets—NLDAS, ERA5, and CONUS404—a$ect hydrologic simulations of snowmelt, soil moisture, evapotranspiration, and streamflow in complex snow-dominated watersheds, and 3) investigating the accuracy of modeled snow cover and depth at the small watershed scale by comparing them to UAV-derived snow cover, manually collected snow courses, and eddy covariance-derived sublimation from snow pack. By focusing on the Snowy Range in southeastern Wyoming, a critical headwater region for the Laramie and North Platte River, this project sought to reduce uncertainty in water predictions and strengthen Wyoming’s ability to anticipate and manage future changes in snow-derived water supply.

Methodology
Hydrometric Observations
Field activities and modeling e$orts were centered in the Snowy Range of the Medicine Bow National Forest, encompassing several nested watersheds ranging from small firstorder headwater basins to fourth-order streams. The study area includes two SNOTEL sites (Brooklyn Lake and Cinnabar Park), multiple soil moisture monitoring locations, and nine open-channel gauging stations. The Glacier Lakes Ecosystem Experiments Site (GLEES) eddy covariance tower provided continuous observations of latent heat flux (i.e., evapotranspiration), and meteorological conditions (Figure 1).

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