Matt Burgess
Economics
Assistant Professor

About
My research focuses on economic growth futures and their implications for the environment and society, political polarization of environmental issues, and mathematical modeling of human-environment systems, especially as it relates to natural resource management and conservation. My research combines mathematical and computer modeling, statistical analyses, and experiments. I also engage in popular writing, public outreach, public speaking, and podcasting related to these topics.
Selected Publications
Burgess, M. G., Van Boven, L., Wagner, G., Wong-Parodi, G., et al. (2024). Supply, demand and polarization challenges facing US climate policies. Nature Climate Change, 14(2), 134-142.
Marshall, R., Anderson, S. E., Van Boven, L., Al-Shawaf, L., & Burgess, M. G. (2024). Neutral and negative effects of policy bundling on support for decarbonization. Climatic Change, 177(4), 61.
Burgess, M. G. (2024). Five Considerations for Twenty-First Century Climate Policy. FIU Law Review, 18(2), 283.
Burgess, M. G., Langendorf, R. E., Moyer, J. D., Dancer, A., Hughes, B. B., & Tilman, D. (2023). Multidecadal dynamics project slow 21st-century economic growth and income convergence. Communications Earth & Environment, 4(1), 220.
Hegwood, M., Burgess, M. G., Costigliolo, E. M., Smith, P., Bajželj, B., Saunders, H., & Davis, S. J. (2023). Rebound effects could offset more than half of avoided food loss and waste. Nature Food, 4(7), 585-595.
Hegwood, M., Langendorf, R. E., & Burgess, M. G. (2022). Why win–wins are rare in complex environmental management. Nature Sustainability, 5(8), 674-680.
Pielke Jr, R., Burgess, M. G., & Ritchie, J. (2022). Plausible 2005-2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 and 3 degrees C of warming by 2100. Environmental Research Letters.
Burgess, M. G., Carrico, A. R., Gaines, S. D., Peri, A., & Vanderheiden, S. (2021). Prepare developed democracies for long-run economic slowdowns. Nature Human Behaviour, 5(12), 1608-1621.
Burgess, M. G., Ritchie, J., Shapland, J., & Pielke, R. (2021). IPCC baseline scenarios have over-projected CO2 emissions and economic growth. Environmental Research Letters, 16(1), 014016.
Rao, A., Burgess, M. G., & Kaffine, D. (2020). Orbital-use fees could more than quadruple the value of the space industry. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(23), 12756-12762.
Burgess, M. G., McDermott, G. R., Owashi, B., Peavey Reeves, L. E., Clavelle, T., Ovando, D., et al. (2018). Protecting marine mammals, turtles, and birds by rebuilding global fisheries. Science, 359(6381), 1255-1258.
Burgess, M. G., Clemence, M., McDermott, G. R., Costello, C., & Gaines, S. D. (2018). Five rules for pragmatic blue growth. Marine Policy, 87, 331-339.
Burgess, M. G., Costello, C., Fredston-Hermann, A., Pinsky, M. L., Gaines, S. D., Tilman, D., & Polasky, S. (2017). Range contraction enables harvesting to extinction. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114(15), 3945-3950.
Szuwalski, C. S., Burgess, M. G., Costello, C., & Gaines, S. D. (2017). High fishery catches through trophic cascades in China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114(4), 717-721.
Burgess, M. G., Polasky, S., & Tilman, D. (2013). Predicting overfishing and extinction threats in multispecies fisheries. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110(40), 15943-15948.
Education